OG · pick 81 — first ever offensive guard at #81 (1975)

OG·pick 81

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #81

John Nessel

Drafted by ATL · Penn State

1975

OGs drafted at #81 in NFL history

most recent: Dylan Fairchild (CIN, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1974, the model gave a offensive guard at #81 a 6.4% chance in 1975.

Offensive guard at #81, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.1% · 2027 model: 14.2%

Surrounding picks · 1975 draft

#76RBLouis CarterLV
#77LBBo HarrisCIN
#78TEWalter WhitePIT
#79SRobert GiblinNYG
#80WRMarshall JohnsonIND
#82CBTony PetersCLE
#83CBVirgil LiversCHI
#85DECleveland ElamSF
#86RBAllen CarterNE
#87CBFrank OliverSF

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 9 picks

2025Dylan FairchildCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Georgia
2024Christian HaynesSEA — GM John Schneider · Connecticut
2015John MillerBUF — GM Doug Whaley · Louisville
2014Gabe JacksonLV — GM Reggie McKenzie · Mississippi St.
2005Richie IncognitoLAR — GM Charley Armey · Oregon
2003Derrick DockeryWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato · Texas
1999Zach PillerTEN — GM Floyd Reese · Florida
1981Glen TitensorDAL — GM Tex Schramm · BYU
1977Val BelcherDAL · Houston

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