OG · pick 8 — first ever offensive guard at #8 (1972)

OG·pick 8

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #8

Royce Smith

Drafted by NO · Georgia

1972

OGs drafted at #8 in NFL history

most recent: Dave Cadigan (NYJ, 1988)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1971, the model gave a offensive guard at #8 a 5.2% chance in 1972.

Offensive guard at #8, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 32.3% · 2027 model: 20.5%

Surrounding picks · 1972 draft

#3OTLionel AntoineCHI
#4WRBobby MooreARI
#5TERiley OdomsDEN
#6DEGreg SampsonTEN
#7CBWillie BuchanonGB
#9WRJerome BarkumNYJ
#10LBJeff SiemonMIN
#11QBJerry TaggeGB
#12SCraig ClemonsCHI
#13RBFranco HarrisPIT

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

1988Dave CadiganNYJ — GM Jim Kensil · USC
1982Mike MunchakTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg · Penn St.

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