OG · pick 79 — first ever offensive guard at #79 (1978)

OG·pick 79

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #79

Ernie Hughes

Drafted by SF · Notre Dame

1978

OGs drafted at #79 in NFL history

most recent: Matt Goncalves (IND, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a offensive guard at #79 a 7.6% chance in 1978.

Offensive guard at #79, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.3% · 2027 model: 14.2%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#74DTBrad ShearerCHI
#75LBWhip WaltonMIN
#76STCraig ColquittPIT
#77WRCarlos PennywellNE
#78STFrank CorralLAR
#80CLeon WhiteLAR
#81WRJimmy CefaloMIA
#82OTLindsey MasonLV
#83WRDon BassCIN
#84OTDave HudgensDAL

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2024Matt GoncalvesIND — GM Chris Ballard · Pittsburgh
2016Isaac SeumaloPHI — GM Howie Roseman · Oregon St.
2005Evan MathisCAR — GM Marty Hurney · Alabama
1991Kevin DonnalleyTEN — GM Mike Holovak · North Carolina

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