OG · pick 78 — first ever offensive guard at #78 (1973)

OG·pick 78

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #78

Leon Gray

Drafted by MIA · Jackson State

1973

OGs drafted at #78 in NFL history

most recent: Michael Deiter (MIA, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a offensive guard at #78 a 6.1% chance in 1973.

Offensive guard at #78, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.3% · 2027 model: 14.3%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

#73RBDavis, CharlesCharles DavisNE
#74LBTom MacLeodGB
#75CBLevi JohnsonDET
#76OGRoger BernhardtPIT
#77DTBob KampaBUF
#79LBGregg BinghamTEN
#80QBMike WellsMIN
#81LBMike HenniganDET
#82OTGallagher, AllenAllen GallagherNE
#83OTGery PalmerIND

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2019Michael DeiterMIA — GM Chris Grier · Wisconsin
2016Joe ThuneyNE — GM Bill Belichick · North Carolina St.
2014Spencer LongWAS — GM Bruce Allen · Nebraska
2009Louis VasquezLAC — GM A.J. Smith · Texas Tech
1998Mike GoffCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Iowa

→ see this cell on the full chart