OG · pick 74 — first ever offensive guard at #74 (1977)

OG·pick 74

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #74

Scribner, RickRick Scribner

Drafted by GB · Idaho State

1977

OGs drafted at #74 in NFL history

most recent: Will Shields (KC, 1993)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a offensive guard at #74 a 6.7% chance in 1977.

Offensive guard at #74, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.5% · 2027 model: 14.3%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

#69RBRick KaneDET
#70TEJimmie GilesTEN
#71OTWatson, MikeMike WatsonMIA
#72DETank MarshallNYJ
#73WRJohn KimbroughBUF
#75WRJim SmithPIT
#76RBMike VoightCIN
#77SKeith KingLAC
#78LBKurt AllermanARI
#79RBWendell TylerLAR

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

1993Will ShieldsKC — GM Carl Peterson · Nebraska
1992Paul SieverWAS — GM Charley Casserly · Penn St.

→ see this cell on the full chart