OG · pick 59 — first ever offensive guard at #59 (1973)

OG·pick 59

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #59

Fred Sturt

Drafted by ARI · Bowling Green

1973

OGs drafted at #59 in NFL history

most recent: Blake Fisher (HOU, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a offensive guard at #59 a 6.2% chance in 1973.

Offensive guard at #59, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.7% · 2027 model: 14.6%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

#54OGPaul HowardDEN
#55SRandy LoganPHI
#56SBrad DusekNE
#57QBJoe FergusonBUF
#58TEBrady, JohnJohn BradyDET
#60OTTim StokesLAR
#61RBBill OldsIND
#62LBRotella, JamieJamie RotellaIND
#63RBTerry MetcalfARI
#64QBDan FoutsLAC

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2024Blake FisherHOU — GM Nick Caserio · Notre Dame
2023O'Cyrus TorrenceBUF — GM Brandon Beane · Florida
2022Ed IngramMIN — GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah · LSU
1989Mike UtleyDET — GM Chuck Schmidt · Washington St.
1979Barney CottonCIN · Nebraska

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