OG · pick 58 — first ever offensive guard at #58 (1981)

OG·pick 58

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #58

Bill Dugan

Drafted by SEA — GM John Thompson · Penn St.

1981

OGs drafted at #58 in NFL history

most recent: Chris Gambol (IND, 1987)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a offensive guard at #58 a 7.6% chance in 1981.

Offensive guard at #58, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.7% · 2027 model: 14.6%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

#53WRDoug DonleyDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#54LBLyman WhiteATL — GM Eddie LeBaron
#55OTDean MiraldiPHI — GM Jim Murray
#56RBAndra FranklinMIA — GM Don Shula
#57DEFrank WarrenNO — GM Ken Meyer/staff
#59WRJohn MistlerNYG — GM George Young
#60DTBen RudolphNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#61CBJeff GriffinARI — GM Bill Bidwill
#62STRay StachowiczGB — GM Bart Starr
#63DTGreg MeisnerLAR — GM Don Klosterman

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

1987Chris GambolIND — GM Jim Irsay/staff · Iowa

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