OG · pick 54 — first ever offensive guard at #54 (1973)

OG·pick 54

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #54

Paul Howard

Drafted by DEN · BYU

1973

OGs drafted at #54 in NFL history

most recent: Dave Zawatson (CHI, 1989)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a offensive guard at #54 a 6.3% chance in 1973.

Offensive guard at #54, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.5% · 2027 model: 14.7%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

#48DTGary HrivnakCHI
#49LBMonte JohnsonLV
#51DESteve BaumgartnerNO
#52CChuck BradleyMIA
#53DEHarvey MartinDAL
#55SRandy LoganPHI
#56SBrad DusekNE
#57QBJoe FergusonBUF
#58TEBrady, JohnJohn BradyDET
#59OGFred SturtARI

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

1989Dave ZawatsonCHI — GM Bill Tobin · California

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