OG · pick 5 — first ever offensive guard at #5 (2024)

OG·pick 5

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #5

Joe Alt

Drafted by LAC — GM Joe Hortiz · Notre Dame

2024

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2023, the model gave a offensive guard at #5 a 4.3% chance in 2024.

Offensive guard at #5, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 19.4% · 2027 model: 10.4%

Surrounding picks · 2024 draft

#1QBCaleb WilliamsCHI — GM Ryan Poles
#2QBJayden DanielsWAS — GM Adam Peters
#3QBDrake MayeNE — GM Eliot Wolf
#4WRMarvin Harrison Jr.ARI — GM Monti Ossenfort
#6WRMalik NabersNYG — GM Joe Schoen
#7OGJC LathamTEN — GM Ran Carthon
#8QBMichael PenixATL — GM Terry Fontenot
#9WRRome OdunzeCHI — GM Ryan Poles
#10QBJ.J. McCarthyMIN — GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart