OG · pick 49 — first ever offensive guard at #49 (1979)

OG·pick 49

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #49

Pat Howell

Drafted by ATL · USC

1979

OGs drafted at #49 in NFL history

most recent: Mitch Morse (KC, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a offensive guard at #49 a 8.2% chance in 1979.

Offensive guard at #49, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.2% · 2027 model: 15.0%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

#44RBSteve AtkinsGB
#45LBJoe NormanSEA
#46LBCalvin FavronARI
#47OTSam ClaphanCLE
#48OGPetey PerotPHI
#50DEJesse BakerTEN
#51LBJim HaslettBUF
#52DTBob GolicNE
#53OTJeff ToewsMIA
#54RBEddie HillLAR

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2015Mitch MorseKC — GM John Dorsey · Missouri
2005Marcus JohnsonMIN — GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski · Mississippi

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