OG · pick 46 — first ever offensive guard at #46 (1994)

OG·pick 46

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #46

Larry Allen

Drafted by DAL — GM Jerry Jones · Sonoma St.

1994

OGs drafted at #46 in NFL history

most recent: Justin Smiley (SF, 2004)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1993, the model gave a offensive guard at #46 a 6.8% chance in 1994.

Offensive guard at #46, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.1% · 2027 model: 15.2%

Surrounding picks · 1994 draft

#41WRRyan YarboroughNYJ — GM Dick Steinberg
#42RBCharlie GarnerPHI — GM Harry Gamble
#43OGIsaac DavisLAC — GM Bobby Beathard
#44RBMario BatesNO — GM Bill Kuharich
#45WRBert EmanuelATL — GM Ken Herock
#47CBThomas RandolphNYG — GM George Young
#48CBBucky BrooksBUF — GM John Butler
#49SToby WrightLAR — GM John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt
#50DTBrentson BucknerPIT — GM Tom Donahoe
#51LBAllen AldridgeDEN — GM John Beake

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2004Justin SmileySF — GM Terry Donahue · Alabama
2000Adrian KlemmNE — GM Bill Belichick · Hawaii

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