OG · pick 45 — first ever offensive guard at #45 (1976)

OG·pick 45

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #45

Ken Jones

Drafted by BUF · Arkansas State

1976

OGs drafted at #45 in NFL history

most recent: Zane Beadles (DEN, 2010)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a offensive guard at #45 a 6.2% chance in 1976.

Offensive guard at #45, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.2% · 2027 model: 15.3%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

#40RBJim JensenDAL
#41DTCliff FrazierKC
#42CRandy CrossSF
#43SKurt KnoffDEN
#44OGKen LongDET
#46TEDavid HillDET
#47QBMike KruczekPIT
#48TEMike BarberTEN
#49TELoaird McCrearyMIA
#50QBJeb BlountLV

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2010Zane BeadlesDEN — GM Brian Xanders · Utah
1984Doug DawsonARI — GM Bill Bidwill · Texas

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