OG · pick 40 — first ever offensive guard at #40 (1995)

OG·pick 40

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #40

Brian DeMarco

Drafted by JAX — GM Tom Coughlin · Michigan St.

1995

OGs drafted at #40 in NFL history

most recent: Amini Silatolu (CAR, 2012)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1994, the model gave a offensive guard at #40 a 7.2% chance in 1995.

Offensive guard at #40, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.7% · 2027 model: 16.0%

Surrounding picks · 1995 draft

#35DEAnthony CookTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#36DEShawn KingCAR — GM Bill Polian
#37CCory RaymerWAS — GM Charley Casserly
#38OGZach WiegertLAR — GM John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt
#39TEChristian FauriaSEA — GM Mike Allman
#41CBRon DavisATL — GM Ken Herock
#42SOrlando ThomasMIN — GM Frank Gilliam
#43SMelvin JohnsonTB — GM Rich McKay
#44RBRay ZellarsNO — GM Bill Kuharich
#45QBTodd CollinsBUF — GM John Butler

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2012Amini SilatoluCAR — GM Marty Hurney · Midwestern St.

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