OG · pick 38 — first ever offensive guard at #38 (1970)

OG·pick 38

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #38

Chuck Hutchison

Drafted by ARI · Ohio State

1970

OGs drafted at #38 in NFL history

most recent: Matthew Bergeron (ATL, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1969, the model gave a offensive guard at #38 a 8.2% chance in 1970.

Offensive guard at #38, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.9% · 2027 model: 16.3%

Surrounding picks · 1970 draft

#33DTJim CorrigallARI
#34CBRay JonesPHI
#35WRDonnie WilliamsLAR
#36DEJoe JonesCLE
#37DEAlden RocheDEN
#39RBArt MaloneATL
#40RBBill DusenberyTEN
#41SAl MatthewsGB
#42DTTom WilliamsLAC
#43DTBill BrundigeWAS

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2023Matthew BergeronATL — GM Terry Fontenot · Syracuse
2017Forrest LampLAC — GM Tom Telesco · Western Kentucky
1995Zach WiegertLAR — GM John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt · Nebraska
1977George ReihnerTEN · Penn State
1976Glenn BujnochCIN · Texas A&M

→ see this cell on the full chart