OG · pick 35 — first ever offensive guard at #35 (2007)

OG·pick 35

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #35

Arron Sears

Drafted by TB — GM Bruce Allen · Tennessee

2007

OGs drafted at #35 in NFL history

most recent: Joel Bitonio (CLE, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2006, the model gave a offensive guard at #35 a 6.0% chance in 2007.

Offensive guard at #35, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 25.5% · 2027 model: 17.0%

Surrounding picks · 2007 draft

#30WRCraig DavisLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#31TEGreg OlsenCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#32WRAnthony GonzalezIND — GM Bill Polian
#33DTAlan BranchARI — GM Rod Graves
#34LBPaul PoslusznyBUF — GM Marv Levy
#36QBKevin KolbPHI — GM Tom Heckert
#37SEric WeddleLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#38TEZach MillerLV — GM Al Davis era
#39OGJustin BlalockATL — GM Rich McKay
#40QBJohn BeckMIA — GM Randy Mueller

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2014Joel BitonioCLE — GM Ray Farmer · Nevada

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