OG · pick 33 — first ever offensive guard at #33 (1979)

OG·pick 33

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #33

Greg Roberts

Drafted by TB · Oklahoma

1979

OGs drafted at #33 in NFL history

most recent: Xavier Su'a-Filo (HOU, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a offensive guard at #33 a 7.7% chance in 1979.

Offensive guard at #33, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 25.9% · 2027 model: 17.5%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

#28RBGreg HawthornePIT
#29WRJames OwensSF
#30TEDan RossCIN
#31DTMike StensrudTEN
#32DTFred SmerlasBUF
#34WRGordon JonesTB
#35RBTheotis BrownARI
#36WREarnest GrayNYG
#37LBKen FantettiDET
#38LBReggie MathisNO

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2014Xavier Su'a-FiloHOU — GM Rick Smith · UCLA
2005David BaasSF — GM Scot McCloughan · Michigan
2003Eric SteinbachCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Iowa
1995Matt O'DwyerNYJ — GM Steve Gutman / Pat Kirwan · Northwestern

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