OG · pick 31 — first ever offensive guard at #31 (1971)

OG·pick 31

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #31

Sam Holden

Drafted by NO · Grambling

1971

OGs drafted at #31 in NFL history

most recent: Germain Ifedi (SEA, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1970, the model gave a offensive guard at #31 a 7.8% chance in 1971.

Offensive guard at #31, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 26.4% · 2027 model: 18.1%

Surrounding picks · 1971 draft

#26CBLeonard DunlapIND
#27DTJulius AdamsNE
#28RBJim HarrisonCHI
#29TEJan WhiteBUF
#30CDave ThompsonDET
#32OTJohn MooringNYJ
#33WRKen BurrowATL
#34LBJack HamPIT
#35WRDwight HarrisonDEN
#36CBCharlie FordCHI

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2016Germain IfediSEA — GM John Schneider · Texas A&M
1994Tre' JohnsonWAS — GM Charley Casserly · Temple
1983Mark CooperDEN — GM Edgar Kaiser/staff · Miami (FL)
1976Don MacekLAC · Boston College
1974Gordie BrowneNYJ · Boston College

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