OG · pick 30 — first ever offensive guard at #30 (1974)

OG·pick 30

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #30

Steve Corbett

Drafted by NE · Boston College

1974

OGs drafted at #30 in NFL history

most recent: Kendall Simmons (PIT, 2002)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a offensive guard at #30 a 6.9% chance in 1974.

Offensive guard at #30, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 26.7% · 2027 model: 18.4%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

#25OTSteve RileyMIN
#26DEDon ReeseMIA
#27LBDoug AllenBUF
#28LBTom MullenNYG
#29WRJohn HollandMIN
#31OGGordie BrowneNYJ
#32DEFred CookIND
#33LBGreg KindleARI
#34LBSteve NelsonNE
#35OTKeith FahnhorstSF

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2002Kendall SimmonsPIT — GM Kevin Colbert · Auburn
1982Brad EdelmanNO — GM Ken Meyer/staff · Missouri

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