Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 3

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #3

John Hicks

Drafted by NYG · Ohio State

1974

2
OGs drafted at #3 in NFL history
most recent: Ken Huff (IND, 1975)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a offensive guard at #3 a 3.1% chance in 1974.

Offensive guard at #3, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%12.8% 1974: 3.1%

Peak: 12.8% · 2027 model: 3.0%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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