OG · pick 28 — first ever offensive guard at #28 (1973)

OG·pick 28

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #28

Guy Morriss

Drafted by PHI · TCU

1973

OGs drafted at #28 in NFL history

most recent: Joshua Garnett (SF, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a offensive guard at #28 a 6.8% chance in 1973.

Offensive guard at #28, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 27.4% · 2027 model: 19.1%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

#23STRay GuyLV
#24CBJ. T. ThomasPIT
#25WRJohnny RodgersLAC
#26OGJoe DeLamielleureBUF
#27TEGary ButlerKC
#29DEDerland MooreNO
#30RBGreg PruittCLE
#31RBCullen BryantLAR
#32DTJeff WinansBUF
#33QBGary HuffCHI

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2016Joshua GarnettSF — GM Trent Baalke · Stanford
2015Laken TomlinsonDET — GM Martin Mayhew · Duke

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