Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 253

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #253

Kyle Hinton

Drafted by MIN — GM Rick Spielman · Washburn

2020

2
OGs drafted at #253 in NFL history
most recent: Evan Beerntsen (BAL, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2019, the model gave a offensive guard at #253 a 5.3% chance in 2020.

Offensive guard at #253, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%27.7% 2020: 5.3%

Peak: 27.7% · 2027 model: 18.8%

Surrounding picks · 2020 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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