Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 252

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #252

Bill Nagy

Drafted by DAL — GM Jerry Jones · Wisconsin

2011

2
OGs drafted at #252 in NFL history
most recent: Rod Taylor (CIN, 2018)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2010, the model gave a offensive guard at #252 a 6.1% chance in 2011.

Offensive guard at #252, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%27.4% 2011: 6.1%

Peak: 27.4% · 2027 model: 18.7%

Surrounding picks · 2011 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart