OG · pick 251 — first ever offensive guard at #251 (2004)

OG·pick 251

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #251

Scott Wells

Drafted by GB — GM Mike Sherman · Tennessee

2004

OGs drafted at #251 in NFL history

most recent: Spencer Anderson (PIT, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a offensive guard at #251 a 7.7% chance in 2004.

Offensive guard at #251, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 27.2% · 2027 model: 18.6%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#246OGBrian RimpfBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#247RBBrandon MireeDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#248QBB.J. SymonsHOU — GM Charley Casserly
#249DEBobby McCrayJAX — GM James Harris
#250QBBradlee Van PeltDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#252CBLenny WilliamsTB — GM Bruce Allen
#253DEIsaac HiltonNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#254OTCarlos JosephLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#255LBAndre SommersellLV — GM Al Davis era

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2023Spencer AndersonPIT — GM Omar Khan · Maryland

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