OG · pick 246 — first ever offensive guard at #246 (2004)

OG·pick 246

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #246

Brian Rimpf

Drafted by BAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · East Carolina

2004

OGs drafted at #246 in NFL history

most recent: Dawson Deaton (CLE, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a offensive guard at #246 a 7.7% chance in 2004.

Offensive guard at #246, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 26.2% · 2027 model: 18.3%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#241RBSean McHughTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#242RBBruce PerryPHI — GM Andy Reid
#243CDominic FurioPHI — GM Andy Reid
#244WRDerek AbneyBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#245TECourtney AndersonLV — GM Al Davis era
#247RBBrandon MireeDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#248QBB.J. SymonsHOU — GM Charley Casserly
#249DEBobby McCrayJAX — GM James Harris
#250QBBradlee Van PeltDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#251OGScott WellsGB — GM Mike Sherman

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2022Dawson DeatonCLE — GM Andrew Berry · Texas Tech
2013Carter BykowskiSF — GM Trent Baalke · Iowa St.
2009Lance LouisCHI — GM Jerry Angelo · San Diego St.
2005Will WhittickerGB — GM Ted Thompson · Michigan St.

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