OG · pick 245 — first ever offensive guard at #245 (2022)

OG·pick 245

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #245

Andrew Stueber

Drafted by NE — GM Bill Belichick · Michigan

2022

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2021, the model gave a offensive guard at #245 a 7.0% chance in 2022.

Offensive guard at #245, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 26.0% · 2027 model: 18.3%

Surrounding picks · 2022 draft

#240CBChristian HolmesWAS — GM Ron Rivera
#241QBChris OladokunPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#242CBKalon BarnesCAR — GM Scott Fitterer
#243CBJaylen WatsonKC — GM Brett Veach
#244CBChristian MatthewARI — GM Steve Keim
#246OGDawson DeatonCLE — GM Andrew Berry
#247QBSkylar ThompsonMIA — GM Chris Grier
#248DEAndre AnthonyTB — GM Jason Licht
#249OGRasheed WalkerGB — GM Brian Gutekunst
#250RBBrittain BrownLV — GM Dave Ziegler

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart