OG · pick 238 — first ever offensive guard at #238 (2021)

OG·pick 238

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #238

Matt Farniok

Drafted by DAL — GM Jerry Jones · Nebraska

2021

OGs drafted at #238 in NFL history

most recent: Ryan Hayes (MIA, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2020, the model gave a offensive guard at #238 a 5.7% chance in 2021.

Offensive guard at #238, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.9% · 2027 model: 17.9%

Surrounding picks · 2021 draft

#233RBJake FunkLAR — GM Les Snead
#234DEPatrick JohnsonPHI — GM Howie Roseman
#235DEWyatt HubertCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#236OGJack AndersonBUF — GM Brandon Beane
#237CBKary Vincent Jr.DEN — GM George Paton
#239DEJonathon CooperDEN — GM George Paton
#240LBWilliam Bradley-KingWAS — GM Ron Rivera
#241SMark WebbLAC — GM Tom Telesco
#242WRTre NixonNE — GM Bill Belichick
#243SJames WigginsARI — GM Steve Keim

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2023Ryan HayesMIA — GM Chris Grier · Michigan
2022Thayer MunfordLV — GM Dave Ziegler · Ohio St.

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