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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 234

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #234

Will Montgomery

Drafted by CAR — GM Marty Hurney · Virginia Tech

2006

4
OGs drafted at #234 in NFL history
most recent: Mason Richman (SEA, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2005, the model gave a offensive guard at #234 a 7.0% chance in 2006.

Offensive guard at #234, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%24.3% 2006: 7.0%

Peak: 24.3% · 2027 model: 17.7%

Surrounding picks · 2006 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart