OG · pick 233 — first ever offensive guard at #233 (2024)

OG·pick 233

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #233

Nathan Thomas

Drafted by DAL — GM Jerry Jones · Louisiana

2024

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2023, the model gave a offensive guard at #233 a 13.7% chance in 2024.

Offensive guard at #233, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.2% · 2027 model: 17.6%

Surrounding picks · 2024 draft

#228CNick SamacBAL — GM Eric DeCosta
#229CBM.J. DevonshireLV — GM Tom Telesco
#230OGMichael JurgensMIN — GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah
#231TEJaheim BellNE — GM Eliot Wolf
#232DTLevi Drake RodriguezMIN — GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah
#234DTJonah LauluIND — GM Chris Ballard
#235WRDevaughn VeleDEN — GM George Paton
#236LBMyles ColeJAX — GM Trent Baalke
#237CMatt LeeCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#238DESolomon ByrdHOU — GM Nick Caserio

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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