Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 230

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #230

Adam Timmerman

Drafted by GB — GM Ron Wolf · South Dakota St.

1995

9
OGs drafted at #230 in NFL history
most recent: Michael Jurgens (MIN, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1994, the model gave a offensive guard at #230 a 5.0% chance in 1995.

Offensive guard at #230, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%23.8% 1995: 5.0%

Peak: 23.8% · 2027 model: 17.5%

Surrounding picks · 1995 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 8 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart