Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 229

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #229

Andrew Vorhees

Drafted by BAL — GM Eric DeCosta · USC

2023

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2022, the model gave a offensive guard at #229 a 12.1% chance in 2023.

Offensive guard at #229, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%23.7% 2023: 12.1%

Peak: 23.7% · 2027 model: 17.4%

Surrounding picks · 2023 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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