Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 222

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #222

Jason Thomas

Drafted by LAC — GM Bobby Beathard · Hampton

2000

2
OGs drafted at #222 in NFL history
most recent: Chester Adams (CHI, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1999, the model gave a offensive guard at #222 a 7.9% chance in 2000.

Offensive guard at #222, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%23.0% 2000: 7.9%

Peak: 23.0% · 2027 model: 17.1%

Surrounding picks · 2000 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart