OG · pick 221 — first ever offensive guard at #221 (1995)

OG·pick 221

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #221

Tom Nutten

Drafted by BUF — GM John Butler · Western Michigan

1995

OGs drafted at #221 in NFL history

most recent: Jonah Monheim (JAX, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1994, the model gave a offensive guard at #221 a 5.2% chance in 1995.

Offensive guard at #221, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 22.9% · 2027 model: 17.1%

Surrounding picks · 1995 draft

#216DEKeif BryantSEA — GM Mike Allman
#217WRCurtis CeaserNYJ — GM Steve Gutman / Pat Kirwan
#218LBSteve RussDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#219WRCurtis MarshJAX — GM Tom Coughlin
#220CBHerman O'BerryLAR — GM John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt
#222TEByron ChamberlainDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#223LBJessie CoxIND — GM Bill Tobin
#224LBWesley LeasyARI — GM Larry Wilson
#225STBryne DiehlNYG — GM George Young
#226CBScott TurnerWAS — GM Charley Casserly

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2025Jonah MonheimJAX — GM James Gladstone · USC
2016Ted KarrasNE — GM Bill Belichick · Illinois
2004Tony PapeMIA — GM Rick Spielman · Michigan

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