OG · pick 209 — first ever offensive guard at #209 (1999)

OG·pick 209

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #209

Tony Coats

Drafted by CIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Washington

1999

OGs drafted at #209 in NFL history

most recent: Matt Gulbin (WAS, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1998, the model gave a offensive guard at #209 a 7.3% chance in 1999.

Offensive guard at #209, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.9% · 2027 model: 16.6%

Surrounding picks · 1999 draft

#204WRChad PlummerDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#205CBAndre WeathersNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#206RBDennis McKinleyARI — GM Bob Ferguson
#207RBMadre HillCLE — GM Dwight Clark
#208TEJed WeaverPHI — GM Tom Modrak
#210STHunter SmithIND — GM Bill Polian
#212SChris AkinsGB — GM Ron Wolf
#213WRDonald DriverGB — GM Ron Wolf
#214DTAntonio DinglePIT — GM Tom Donahoe
#215DEMike PringleyDET — GM Chuck Schmidt

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2026Matt GulbinWAS · Michigan St.
2022Luke TenutaBUF — GM Brandon Beane · Virginia Tech
2011Johnny CulbreathDET — GM Martin Mayhew · South Carolina St.

→ see this cell on the full chart