Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 207

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #207

Chris Liwienski

Drafted by DET — GM Chuck Schmidt · Indiana

1998

6
OGs drafted at #207 in NFL history
most recent: Micah Morris (PHI, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1997, the model gave a offensive guard at #207 a 6.1% chance in 1998.

Offensive guard at #207, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%21.8% 1998: 6.1%

Peak: 21.8% · 2027 model: 16.5%

Surrounding picks · 1998 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

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