OG · pick 206 — first ever offensive guard at #206 (2025)

OG·pick 206

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #206

Chase Lundt

Drafted by BUF — GM Brandon Beane · Connecticut

2025

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2024, the model gave a offensive guard at #206 a 17.3% chance in 2025.

Offensive guard at #206, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.8% · 2027 model: 16.5%

Surrounding picks · 2025 draft

#201LBKobe KingMIN — GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah
#202TEGavin BartholomewMIN — GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah
#203WRLaJohntay WesterBAL — GM Eric DeCosta
#204OGAjani CorneliusDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#205LBKain MedranoWAS — GM Adam Peters
#207OGCameron WilliamsPHI — GM Howie Roseman
#208WRJimmy HornCAR — GM Dan Morgan
#209DEAntwaun Powell-RylandPHI — GM Howie Roseman
#210DTAeneas PeeblesBAL — GM Eric DeCosta
#211OGHayden ConnerARI — GM Monti Ossenfort

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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