OG · pick 205 — first ever offensive guard at #205 (2006)

OG·pick 205

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #205

Dan Stevenson

Drafted by NE — GM Bill Belichick · Notre Dame

2006

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2005, the model gave a offensive guard at #205 a 6.9% chance in 2006.

Offensive guard at #205, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.7% · 2027 model: 16.4%

Surrounding picks · 2006 draft

#200OGTyler ReedCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#201CMarvin PhilipPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#202TET.J. WilliamsTB — GM Bruce Allen
#203STSam KochBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#204DTLaJuan RamseyPHI — GM Tom Heckert
#206DTLe Kevin SmithNE — GM Bill Belichick
#207SAntoine BetheaIND — GM Bill Polian
#208CBDerrick MartinBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#209WREthan KilmerCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#210OGZach StriefNO — GM Mickey Loomis

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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