Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 205

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #205

Dan Stevenson

Drafted by NE — GM Bill Belichick · Notre Dame

2006

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2005, the model gave a offensive guard at #205 a 6.9% chance in 2006.

Offensive guard at #205, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%21.7% 2006: 6.9%

Peak: 21.7% · 2027 model: 16.4%

Surrounding picks · 2006 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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