OG · pick 204 — first ever offensive guard at #204 (2005)

OG·pick 204

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #204

Chris Kemoeatu

Drafted by PIT — GM Kevin Colbert · Utah

2005

OGs drafted at #204 in NFL history

most recent: Ajani Cornelius (DAL, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2004, the model gave a offensive guard at #204 a 7.0% chance in 2005.

Offensive guard at #204, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.7% · 2027 model: 16.4%

Surrounding picks · 2005 draft

#199DEKhari LongKC — GM Carl Peterson
#200OGChris MyersDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#201RBDeAndra CobbATL — GM Rich McKay
#202STDave RaynerIND — GM Bill Polian
#203DTAndrew HoffmanCLE — GM Phil Savage
#205CBDerrick JohnsonSF — GM Scot McCloughan
#206DEJonathan GoddardDET — GM Matt Millen
#207OTJoe BergerCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#208SJustin BeriaultDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#209OTRob PetittiDAL — GM Jerry Jones

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2025Ajani CorneliusDAL — GM Jerry Jones · Oregon
2024Tylan GrableBUF — GM Brandon Beane · Central Florida

→ see this cell on the full chart