OG · pick 201 — first ever offensive guard at #201 (2011)

OG·pick 201

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #201

Stephen Schilling

Drafted by LAC — GM A.J. Smith · Michigan

2011

OGs drafted at #201 in NFL history

most recent: Jarrett Patterson (HOU, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2010, the model gave a offensive guard at #201 a 5.3% chance in 2011.

Offensive guard at #201, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.6% · 2027 model: 16.3%

Surrounding picks · 2011 draft

#196OGKeith WilliamsPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#197DTRicky ElmoreGB — GM Ted Thompson
#198STyler SashNYG — GM Jerry Reese
#199DTJerrell PoweKC — GM Scott Pioli
#200LBRoss HomanMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#202LBJacquian WilliamsNYG — GM Jerry Reese
#203OGZachary WilliamsCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#204TEVirgil GreenDEN — GM John Elway
#205DTPep LevingstonSEA — GM John Schneider
#206CBJustin RogersBUF — GM Buddy Nix

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2023Jarrett PattersonHOU — GM Nick Caserio · Notre Dame

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