OG · pick 20 — first ever offensive guard at #20 (1981)

OG·pick 20

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #20

Mark May

Drafted by WAS — GM Bobby Beathard · Pittsburgh

1981

OGs drafted at #20 in NFL history

most recent: Troy Fautanu (PIT, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a offensive guard at #20 a 6.5% chance in 1981.

Offensive guard at #20, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 31.9% · 2027 model: 22.6%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

#15SDennis SmithDEN — GM Edgar Kaiser/staff
#16WRMark NicholsDET — GM Russ Thomas
#17DEKeith GaryPIT — GM Dick Haley
#18DEDonnell ThompsonIND — GM Dick Szymanski
#19OTBrian HollowayNE — GM Bucko Kilroy
#21CBTed WattsLV — GM Al Davis
#22CBHanford DixonCLE — GM Art Modell/staff
#23OGCurt MarshLV — GM Al Davis
#24RBJames BrooksLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer
#25CBBobby ButlerATL — GM Eddie LeBaron

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2024Troy FautanuPIT — GM Omar Khan · Washington
2013Kyle LongCHI — GM Phil Emery · Oregon

→ see this cell on the full chart