OG · pick 199 — first ever offensive guard at #199 (2012)

OG·pick 199

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #199

Jason Slowey

Drafted by SF — GM Trent Baalke · Western Oregon

2012

OGs drafted at #199 in NFL history

most recent: Branson Taylor (LAC, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2011, the model gave a offensive guard at #199 a 6.1% chance in 2012.

Offensive guard at #199, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.5% · 2027 model: 16.2%

Surrounding picks · 2012 draft

#194WRMarvin McNuttPHI — GM Howie Roseman
#195OGNick MondekHOU — GM Rick Smith
#196CBJonte GreenDET — GM Martin Mayhew
#197SNate EbnerNE — GM Bill Belichick
#198WRTommy StreeterBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#200OGBrandon WashingtonPHI — GM Howie Roseman
#201OTMatt McCantsNYG — GM Jerry Reese
#202RBTerrance GanawayNYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum
#203OGRobert GriffinNYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum
#204LBEmmanuel AchoCLE — GM Tom Heckert

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2025Branson TaylorLAC — GM Joe Hortiz · Pittsburgh
2023Malaesala Aumavae-LauluBAL — GM Eric DeCosta · Oregon
2022Cade MaysCAR — GM Scott Fitterer · Tennessee
2014Garrett ScottSEA — GM John Schneider · Marshall

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