OG · pick 197 — first ever offensive guard at #197 (1999)

OG·pick 197

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #197

J.P. Machado

Drafted by NYJ — GM Bill Parcells · Illinois

1999

OGs drafted at #197 in NFL history

most recent: William Sherman (NE, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1998, the model gave a offensive guard at #197 a 7.2% chance in 1999.

Offensive guard at #197, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.5% · 2027 model: 16.1%

Surrounding picks · 1999 draft

#192STBrent BartholomewMIA — GM Jimmy Johnson
#193WRMarTay JenkinsDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#194SArmon HatcherBUF — GM John Butler
#195RBLamarr GlennTB — GM Rich McKay
#196WRDee MillerGB — GM Ron Wolf
#198LBJeff KellyATL — GM Harold Richardson
#199LBAntico DaltonMIN — GM Frank Gilliam
#201WRTroy SmithPHI — GM Tom Modrak
#202LBMelvin BradleyARI — GM Bob Ferguson
#203OTScott CurryGB — GM Ron Wolf

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2021William ShermanNE — GM Bill Belichick · Colorado
2005Justin GeisingerBUF — GM Tom Donahoe · Vanderbilt

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