OG · pick 196 — first ever offensive guard at #196 (1984)

OG·pick 196

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #196

Loyd Lewis

Drafted by MIN — GM Mike Lynn · Texas A&M-Kingsville

1984

OGs drafted at #196 in NFL history

most recent: Jeff Baca (MIN, 2013)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a offensive guard at #196 a 6.0% chance in 1984.

Offensive guard at #196, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.4% · 2027 model: 16.1%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

#191QBScott CampbellPIT — GM Dick Haley
#192WRDerwin WilliamsNE — GM Patrick Sullivan
#193LBEd MartinDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#194OGBernard CarvalhoMIA — GM Don Shula
#195WRMark SmithWAS — GM Bobby Beathard

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2013Jeff BacaMIN — GM Rick Spielman · UCLA
2011Keith WilliamsPIT — GM Kevin Colbert · Nebraska

→ see this cell on the full chart