OG · pick 195 — first ever offensive guard at #195 (2008)

OG·pick 195

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #195

Donald Thomas

Drafted by MIA — GM Jeff Ireland · Connecticut

2008

OGs drafted at #195 in NFL history

most recent: Luke Newman (CHI, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2007, the model gave a offensive guard at #195 a 7.2% chance in 2008.

Offensive guard at #195, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.4% · 2027 model: 16.0%

Surrounding picks · 2008 draft

#190DTAhtyba RubinCLE — GM Phil Savage
#191WRPaul HubbardCLE — GM Phil Savage
#192CBDeJuan TribbleLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#193WRJaymar JohnsonMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#194SRyan MundyPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#196TETom SantiIND — GM Bill Polian
#197LBBo RuudNE — GM Bill Belichick
#198QBAndre WoodsonNYG — GM Jerry Reese
#199DERobert HendersonNYG — GM Jerry Reese
#200LBJoe MaysPHI — GM Tom Heckert

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2025Luke NewmanCHI — GM Ryan Poles · Michigan St.
2022Jamaree SalyerLAC — GM Tom Telesco · Georgia
2016Wes SchweitzerATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff · San Jose St.
2012Nick MondekHOU — GM Rick Smith · Purdue

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