OG · pick 194 — first ever offensive guard at #194 (1984)

OG·pick 194

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #194

Bernard Carvalho

Drafted by MIA — GM Don Shula · Hawaii

1984

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a offensive guard at #194 a 6.0% chance in 1984.

Offensive guard at #194, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.4% · 2027 model: 16.0%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

#189OTSam SlaterSEA — GM Mike McCormack
#190LBJim DumontCLE — GM Art Modell/staff
#191QBScott CampbellPIT — GM Dick Haley
#192WRDerwin WilliamsNE — GM Patrick Sullivan
#193LBEd MartinDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#195WRMark SmithWAS — GM Bobby Beathard
#196OGLoyd LewisMIN — GM Mike Lynn

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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