OG · pick 193 — first ever offensive guard at #193 (2009)

OG·pick 193

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #193

Matt Slauson

Drafted by NYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum · Nebraska

2009

OGs drafted at #193 in NFL history

most recent: Deonte Brown (CAR, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2008, the model gave a offensive guard at #193 a 5.8% chance in 2009.

Offensive guard at #193, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.4% · 2027 model: 15.9%

Surrounding picks · 2009 draft

#188CBBrice McCainHOU — GM Rick Smith
#189LBKevin EllisonLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#190SAl AfalavaCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#191CBCoye FranciesCLE — GM George Kokinis
#192RBAaron BrownDET — GM Martin Mayhew
#194WRBrandon GibsonPHI — GM Tom Heckert
#195RBJames DavisCLE — GM George Kokinis
#196QBKeith NullLAR — GM Billy Devaney
#197SStephen HodgeDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#198CJake IngramNE — GM Bill Belichick

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2021Deonte BrownCAR — GM Scott Fitterer · Alabama
2016Sebastian TretolaTEN — GM Jon Robinson · Arkansas
2014Zach FultonKC — GM John Dorsey · Tennessee

→ see this cell on the full chart