OG · pick 191 — first ever offensive guard at #191 (1983)

OG·pick 191

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #191

Mark Kirchner

Drafted by PIT — GM Dick Haley · Baylor

1983

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a offensive guard at #191 a 6.5% chance in 1983.

Offensive guard at #191, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.3% · 2027 model: 15.9%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#186CBCarl LeeMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#187RBCraig JamesNE — GM Patrick Sullivan
#188RBJessie ClarkGB — GM Bart Starr
#189OTChris SchultzDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#190LBDarrin NewboldNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#192DTBill ElkoLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer
#193SJames GriffinCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#194RBJeff McCallLV — GM Al Davis
#195LBKeith WoetzelMIA — GM Don Shula
#196RBKelvin BryantWAS — GM Bobby Beathard

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart