Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 186

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #186

Jim Leonard

Drafted by TB — GM Phil Krueger · Santa Clara

1980

7
OGs drafted at #186 in NFL history
most recent: Jaelyn Duncan (TEN, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1979, the model gave a offensive guard at #186 a 6.3% chance in 1980.

Offensive guard at #186, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%21.2% 1980: 6.3%

Peak: 21.2% · 2027 model: 15.7%

Surrounding picks · 1980 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart