OG · pick 182 — first ever offensive guard at #182 (1974)

OG·pick 182

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #182

Sullivan, JoeJoe Sullivan

Drafted by MIA · Boston College

1974

OGs drafted at #182 in NFL history

most recent: Michael Onwenu (NE, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a offensive guard at #182 a 7.0% chance in 1974.

Offensive guard at #182, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.1% · 2027 model: 15.5%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

#177SKen SawyerCIN
#178LBMaury DamkrogerNE
#179TEGarske, ScottScott GarskePIT
#180LBMike VartyWAS
#181RBTabron, FredFred TabronMIN

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2020Michael OnwenuNE — GM Bill Belichick · Michigan
2000Jeno JamesCAR — GM Dom Anile · Auburn
1995Fritz FequiereDEN — GM Mike Shanahan · Iowa
1991Hayward HaynesNO — GM Jim Finks · Florida St.
1983Jon SchultheisPHI — GM Jim Murray · Princeton

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