OG · pick 18 — first ever offensive guard at #18 (1977)

OG·pick 18

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #18

Steve Schindler

Drafted by DEN · Boston College

1977

OGs drafted at #18 in NFL history

most recent: Amarius Mims (CIN, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a offensive guard at #18 a 6.6% chance in 1977.

Offensive guard at #18, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 33.4% · 2027 model: 23.6%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

#13DEA. J. DuheMIA
#14OTSteve AugustSEA
#15OTTed AlbrechtCHI
#16CBRaymond ClaybornNE
#17LBRobert JacksonCLE
#19QBSteve PisarkiewiczARI
#20DTWilson FaumuinaATL
#21LBRobin ColePIT
#22TEMike CobbCIN
#23LBBob BrudzinskiLAR

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2024Amarius MimsCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Georgia
1999Matt StinchcombLV — GM Al Davis era · Georgia
1978Bob CryderNE · Alabama

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