OG · pick 173 — first ever offensive guard at #173 (2013)

OG·pick 173

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #173

Vinston Painter

Drafted by DEN — GM John Elway · Virginia Tech

2013

OGs drafted at #173 in NFL history

most recent: Marcus McKethan (NYG, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2012, the model gave a offensive guard at #173 a 6.9% chance in 2013.

Offensive guard at #173, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.0% · 2027 model: 15.2%

Surrounding picks · 2013 draft

#168OTRicky WagnerBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#169SJosh EvansJAX — GM David Caldwell
#170CEric KushKC — GM John Dorsey
#171WRCorey FullerDET — GM Martin Mayhew
#172TENick KasaLV — GM Reggie McKenzie
#174WRRyan SwopeARI — GM Steve Keim
#175SJamoris SlaughterCLE — GM Mike Lombardi
#176OGDavid QuessenberryHOU — GM Rick Smith
#177STDustin HopkinsBUF — GM Doug Whaley
#178OGWilliam CampbellNYJ — GM John Idzik

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2022Marcus McKethanNYG — GM Joe Schoen · North Carolina
2014Wesley JohnsonPIT — GM Kevin Colbert · Vanderbilt

→ see this cell on the full chart